Wednesday, March 27, 2019

The Melnick State of the Economy Index Increased by 0.2 Percent in February

The business sector growth continues
The index improvement in February reflects an update of industrial production data conducted by the Central Bureau of Statistics
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The Melnick State of the Israeli Economy Index increased by 0.2 percent in February 2019. The business sector growth continues. A significant revision of industrial production data conducted by the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) has improved the business sector's growth as reflected in the index of the state of the economy. The revenue in trade and services, which reflects domestic demand, and mainly private consumption, rose again, reflecting improvement in domestic demand. The index of industrial production, which reflects the supply side of the business sector, rose by an exceptional 5.4 percent in January. It appears that this increase reflects, as mentioned above, mainly the updating of historical data by the CBS. At this stage, it is difficult to offer an economic interpretation. The rise in the imports index, which reflects mainly imports of domestic production inputs, indicates the possibility of continued growth in the business sector. The number of employee posts in the business sector declined, but it is too early to interpret the decline as a turnaround in the labor market.

The February Melnick Index components include: an increase of 5.4% in the industrial production index in January, following a decrease of 0.5% in December; an increase of 1.4% in the revenue of commerce and services in January, following a decrease of 0.5% in December; an increase of 1.5% in the imports index in February, following an increase of 1.7% in January; and a decrease of 0.2% in the number of employee posts in the business sector in December, after no change in November.

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