Wednesday, February 27, 2019

The Melnick State of the Economy Index Increased by 0.1 Percent in January


In 2018 the index rose by 2.3 percent
In contrast to recent years private consumption does not lead to growth
   Click graph to enlarge



The Melnick State of the Israeli Economy Index rose by 2.3 percent in 2018, below the economy's growth potential. In January 2019, the index rose by 0.1 percent.  Business sector growth continues at a moderate rate. The revenue in commerce and services, which reflects domestic demand and mainly private consumption, declined for two consecutive months. This development reflects a change in the composition of domestic demand. It can be determined that unlike in recent years, private consumption is not leading economic growth. The industrial production index, which reflects the supply side of the business sector, is unable to increase and is apparently influenced by the slowdown in Europe, which makes it difficult for exports. The level of the imports index, which mainly reflects imports of inputs for domestic production, is high and does not constitute a constraint for the continued growth of the business sector. The number of employee positions in the business sector did not change, but the labor market continues to show resilience.

The January Melnick Index components include: an increase of 0.2% in the index of industrial production in December, after a decrease of 0.3% in November; a decrease of 1.1% in the revenue in commerce and services in December, following a decrease of 0.1% in November; an increase of 1.5% in the imports index in January, following a decrease of 2.3% in December. and no change in the number of employee posts in the business sector in November, following an increase of 1.5% in October.

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