Wednesday, January 30, 2019

The Melnick State of the Economy Index Increased by 0.1 Percent in December

Business sector growth continues at a moderate rate
Private consumption has stopped leading economic growth
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The Melnick State of the Israeli Economy Index increased by 0.1 percent in December 2018. The growth of the business sector continues at a moderate rate. The revenue in commerce and services, which reflects domestic demand and especially private consumption, maintains a relatively stable level. This development reflects the stability of domestic demand and especially private consumption. It should be noted that unlike in recent years, the impact of private consumption on economic growth has diminished. The index of industrial production, which reflects the supply side of the business sector, declined in the last month. Apparently, industrial production was affected by the slowdown in global markets, which is making it difficult for exports to develop. The import index, which reflects mainly the import of inputs for domestic production, also declined, but its level is still high and does not constitute a constraint on the continued growth of the business sector. The number of employee posts in the business sector increased reflecting resilience in the labor market.

The December Melnick index components include: a 2.6% decrease in the industrial production index in November, following an increase of 0.2% in October; a decrease of 0.2% in revenue in commerce and services in November, following an increase of 2.3% in October; a decrease of 2.4% in the imports index in December, following an increase of 5.7% in November; and, an increase of 1.4% in the number of employee posts in the business sector in October, following a decrease of 0.6% in September.
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